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Specialist

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Specialist last won the day on July 9

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  • Birthday 08/27/1955

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  1. That's entirely possible. The only reason we know I had COVID-19 is that, after a few days of what looked for all the world like an asthma exacerbation that was a bit more recalcitrant than usual (but nowhere near the worst I've seen, even in the last few years), I picked up an entirely-unrelated opportunistic bronchitis and coughed up a mouthful of green slime. I've been under standing orders for decades: when that happens, see the doctor and get antibiotics started, before the bronchitis gets a chance to put me in the hospital. (It has happened.) So I went in. The doctor ordered the antibiotics, agreed that this was almost certainly an asthma flare, but insisted on swabbing me for COVID-19 anyway, since I am one of the patients considered to be at sky-high risk for a bad outcome *IF* I get COVID-19. I emphasize at this point: I had NO symptoms, at any point, that clearly indicated a viral infection. No fever, no chills, no muscle aches and pains, NOTHING. The ONLY thing out of the ordinary was a funny taste in my mouth, and that could have been ANYTHING. I think we were both surprised a few days later when the test came back positive. (Interestingly enough, another COVID-19 test, taken the same day as the first, came back negative. The test depends on the swab actually catching something.) If it hadn't been for the bronchitis, we would never have known I'd had COVID-19.
  2. Coss, a suggestion, if you can take it. Before you get the vaccine, do the antibody test and see if you have already had and recovered from COVID-19. I will admit that it is highly unlikely, given that Thailand locked down thoroughly, and has had very few confirmed cases, but it isn't impossible. I had it in the second half of March 2020. Long before the major US wave even got started. I have been tested SEVERAL times since then, because I was showing symptoms not inconsistent, and the doctors were worried about reinfection. (On the first re-test, the ER doc was SURE it was reinfection, but the test said otherwise.) There is considerable evidence out that showing that surviving COVID-19 confers much better immunity than any of the vaccines. ESPECIALLY the Sinovac, which appears to me to be just about (although not QUITE) worthless.
  3. And why do you think it is that smallpox has not existed in the wild for a long time?
  4. You have clearly never heard of smallpox.
  5. The one in the middle is BLM/Antifa, not a Trump supporter.
  6. The standard recommendation is "Call your physician at 103 F, go to the emergency room at 105 F." Having been on the wrong side of 103 F a few times, I'm probably not going to wait to hit 105 F to go to ER (more precisely, to call for an ambulance ride to ER). My recollection is that 105 F is considered life-threatening, all by itself.
  7. Seriously, when were rush hour passengers NOT packed like sardines on the BTS?
  8. Well, the Dems have a problem. Biden made it to First Place in the primaries. Bernie Sanders came in second, very close on his heels. Everyone else, including Kamala "Heels Up" Harris and Elizabeth "Fauxcahontas" Warren, was way back in the back of the pack. Bernie Sanders is not electable. Too many people know what he really is, and what he would mean in the White House, and, while they might be Democrats, and stupid, they aren't suicidal. If the Dems hadn't nominated Sleepy Joe, they would have had a HUGE fight on their hands from the Bernie camp. This would have eliminated their chances of defeating Trump. Their strategy appears to be to run Biden, beat Trump, inaugurate Biden, and then, the moment he has been sworn in, remove him via the 25th Amendment. That puts Kamel-Toe Harris in the Oval Office, and she is then free to name Bernie Sanders as her Veep, and we the people are fxxked. (Not even Kamel-Toe is stupid enough to name Hillary as Veep; she may be stupid, but she does not have THAT big a death wish.)
  9. I am in general not fond of tattoos. I will make an exception for Thai temple tattoos, but that's about it.
  10. Oh, and the Bangkok Post website has a story that says the first load of long-stay "tourists" was supposed to arrive on Oct 9, but they've run into some problems getting all the ducks in a row in China, so they're going to have to reschedule (i.e., slip the date out a while).
  11. It wouldn't matter. The quarantine procedure is just about full lockdown. NO VISITORS, UNDER *ANY* CIRCUMSTANCES. One of the other guys posted about it recently.
  12. Days since about Case #1 in the US.
  13. First, Tet in 1968 was a VC operation, not an NVA operation. It was a "last gasp", intended to convince the US that the war was unwinnable. IT DIDN'T WORK, and it finished the VC. They were never again a factor in "the" war. The US kept right on going, chewing the NVA into little tiny pieces. Second, the US wound down its involvement, and withdrew, in 1972. South Vietnam did not fall until 1974. In the 1972-1974 period, with heavy backing from the USSR and the PRC, the NVA built TWO of the largest mechanized armies ever seen on the planet, larger than anything Hitler ever fielded in World War II. (That's saying something. Germany fielded some BIG mechanized armies.) The ARVN, with US air support, reduced the first one to Brillo (tm) pads, and sent what was left (NOT MUCH) back to Hanoi. When the second one headed south, in 1974, the Democrat-controlled Congress voted the equivalent of ten rounds of ammunition and two hand grenades per ARVN soldier, which was not remotely enough. It should be mentioned. That was one of the most expensive Brillo pad orders the Soviets ever placed, and it was a chunk of why the Soviet Union fell some years later.
  14. Some data, as of a few days ago. The first chart is day-to-day new cases, 7-day moving average, for the US. The second chart is day-to-day deaths, 7-day moving average, for the US. Bluntly, the pandemic is dying out.
  15. FALSE, and badly so, but you have to read the history and look at the actual timeline. Full Disclosure: I am cribbing heavily from Jerry Pournelle's writings in this. First, it is necessary to recognize that there were in fact THREE wars being fought in Vietnam in the 1960s and early 1970s. The first was a revolt-from-within in South Vietnam, by the Viet Cong. The Viet Cong LOST that war in 1968: the Tet Offensive was their absolute last gasp. They were losing, they knew it, and the went for broke. They threw everything they had, including every kitchen sink and chamber pot they could find, at the US Army. The Army took it all, soaked it up, shook it off, and said, essentially "Is that the best you can do?" The VC were never a factor again in the hostilities after Tet. They were done. The second was a conventional land grab from North Vietnam, that had been flaring up periodically for some two thousand years, that usually fought itself to a standstill at about the DMZ. The VC made common cause with the North Vietnamese Army, who saw a chance to use a proxy to weaken the Army of the Republic of (South) Vietnam. Once the VC were off the board, the NVA continued the fight. The US essentially won that war, and withdrew from Vietnam in 1972, leaving only a commitment to provide air cover when needed. With air cover, the ARVN was quite capable of handling the NVA, and did so, handily. This included making Brillo (Tm) pads out of a larger mechanized army than Hitler's Germany ever fielded. Two years later, while hounding Richard Nixon out of the White House, the Democratic Party reneged on the air cover pledge, and South Vietnam fell. The US didn't lose; the Democrats THREW THE VICTORY AWAY. The third war is the interesting one. Vietnam was not just a stand-alone war: it was a critical campaign of attrition in the Seventy Years War between the United States of America and the Union of Soviet Socialist Republics. In such a campaign, the trick is NOT TO WIN OUTRIGHT, but rather to keep the other guy thinking that he can win it if just commits some more resources to the meatgrinder. The object is to cost the other guy a lot more than he costs you, and, in this regard, the US was howlingly successful in Vietnam. When Vietnam finally fell, the next campaign was in Afghanistan, where all the US did was supply Stinger SAMs to the Afghans, depriving the Soviets of their air cover assets, and letting them learn why nobody in their right minds EVER gets into a serious fight with the Afghans. Bluntly, the US did not "lose" the Vietnam War. By any sensible set of victory conditions, the US won. The problem is that the Democrats then betrayed South Vietnam, and let them fall.
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