Steve Posted July 15, 2012 Report Share Posted July 15, 2012 I looked at the RealClear site for the latest poll results. Haven't done that in a while. Conclusion? There is no real race right now. Yes, the polls in some swing states are tightening but Romney would need to do too much right now to win. They estimate Romney has about 181 definite electoral votes and Obama about 221. With 270 needed, there is no real contest right now. Romney would have to sweep the undecided states and swing states in contention. He'd need a perfect storm of events. Highly unlikely, the press knows this and both candidates know this. Virginia is polling towards Obama and the President says he wins Virginia he wins again. He's fairly accurate about that assessment. Virginia usually goes Republican and if Obama wins that, its one less of the tradtional swing states he has to win. Florida is the only one of the major 5 swing states (Ohio, Florida, Penna., Michigan and Wisconsin) that Obama is polling below Romney and even that poll is less than 1%. Granted, Obama is only a few points ahead in Ohio and a couple others but firmly ahead in Penna. Romney's VP is the one big event that he controls card he still has to play. Many are saying he should get Condi Rice. Not a bad choice but she brings the Bush baggage as well and she'll get hammered on knowing the economy. Virginia is an example of why the Republicans need to watch demographic trends. Virginia is voting Dem because the DC suburbs (Arlington, Alexandra and the cities and counties adjacent to it) are now being populated by people who moved to Virginia and not homegrown and these are yuppies and the like. One of my brothers moved to that state. These new Virginians come from a far less conservative background. Southern Virginia is closer to NC in ideology but that is changing. Also the latino population in Virginia has increased significantly. The fact of the matter is America is getting darker demographically. Latinos are having more kids than anyone, blacks on average are having more kids than whites. Also, whites from moderate and liberal backgrounds are moving into states that are solidly Republican in the past. Virginia, North Carolina (Charlotte, the triangle, etc. have a large influx of people). They are there for jobs. Georgia is still Republican but Atlanta is a magnet for out of state folks. The demographics don't favor Republicans and they will find it harder and harder to win national elections with the reputation they have of being anti-minority, anti-latino/immigration, etc. Furthermore, even the more conservative immigrants (Koreans for example) come from countries with what is deemed 'socialistic' programs here like national healthcare. Korea has it as well as immigrants from Europe. Its going to be a tough sell telling those folks you're against it. I don't think I'm writing anything the RNC doesn't already know. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
allistar Posted July 16, 2012 Report Share Posted July 16, 2012 Just to get into some mindless entertainment banter for a second. I have no sympathy for Katie Holmes. Who gets into a relationship with someone as deep into Scientology as Tom Cruise is? Okay, bang the dude if you're an up and coming actress, appear on the red carpet and get some PR to further your career. I can respect that...but marry and have kids? http://omg.yahoo.com/news/katie-holmes-used-disposable-cell-phone-to-secretly-plan-divorce-from-tom-cruise--report.html?_esi=1 According to the Los Angeles Times, a friend of Holmes provided her with the throwaway device so she could talk to her New York City-based lawyers without Cruise, 50, or his people knowing what she was up to. Now, yet another report, a People magazine story released on Wednesday, divulges further details on how Holmes caught her husband of five years off guard by meticulously plotting her divorce plans ahead of time, even reaching out to her parents for help. According to the report, Tom Cruise was about to start shooting an action-packed scene on the set in Iceland when he answered an unexpected call from Holmes. “He was about to do a stunt and got off his motorcycle to take the call,†a source tells People. It was during that conversation that Holmes broke the news. “He’s been in shock since that day,†the source adds. I was just reading this week's Time magazine and it stated that all 3 of Tom Cruise's wife's are actresses(Mimi Rogers, Nicole Kidman and Katie Holmes), each successive wife was 11.5 years younger than the previous wife and they were all divorced from Cruise at age 33. Time speculates on Mrs. Cruise #4 and gives the possibility of Kristen Stewart, Emma Watson and Jennifer Lawrence, all born in 1990. Tom is 50, so there will be a 28 year difference in age. His next divorce will be in 2023. Someone should introduce Tom to LOS, since he seems to like his ladies between 25 and 33. It would be a lot less expensive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kamui Posted July 16, 2012 Report Share Posted July 16, 2012 Someone should introduce Tom to LOS, since he seems to like his ladies between 25 and 33. It would be a lot less expensive. But LOS might be a little bit more dangerous for him, considering his wealth. :-) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavanami Posted July 17, 2012 Report Share Posted July 17, 2012 U.S. Navy Fires on Boat in Persian Gulf I've been on the shooting side and for a fact, our ship repeatedly hailed the approaching vessel and finally fired upon it. Sounds like the same thing here. http://www.infowars.com/u-s-navy-fires-on-boat-in-persian-gulf/ A security team aboard the oil supply ship U.S.N.S. Rappahannock fired on a boat in the Persian Gulf today, killing one and injuring three others. The Navy’s 5th Fleet, based in nearby Bahrain, said the U.S. ship fired a .50 caliber machine gun at a “small motor vessel after it disregarded warnings and rapidly approached the U.S. ship†near the coast of Jebel Ali, about 30 miles from Dubai in the United Arab Emirates, according to ABC News. In accordance with Navy force protection procedures, the sailors on the USNS Rappahannock (T-AO 204) used a series of non-lethal, preplanned responses to warn the vessel before resorting to lethal force. The U.S. crew repeatedly attempted to warn the vessel’s operators to turn away from their deliberate approach. When those efforts failed to deter the approaching vessel, the security team on the Rappahannock fired rounds from a .50-caliber machine gun... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hugh_Hoy Posted July 17, 2012 Report Share Posted July 17, 2012 U.S. Navy Fires on Boat in Persian Gulf I've been on the shooting side and for a fact, our ship repeatedly hailed the approaching vessel and finally fired upon it. Sounds like the same thing here. http://www.infowars.com/u-s-navy-fires-on-boat-in-persian-gulf/ A security team aboard the oil supply ship U.S.N.S. Rappahannock fired on a boat in the Persian Gulf today, killing one and injuring three others. The Navy’s 5th Fleet, based in nearby Bahrain, said the U.S. ship fired a .50 caliber machine gun at a “small motor vessel after it disregarded warnings and rapidly approached the U.S. ship†near the coast of Jebel Ali, about 30 miles from Dubai in the United Arab Emirates, according to ABC News. In accordance with Navy force protection procedures, the sailors on the USNS Rappahannock (T-AO 204) used a series of non-lethal, preplanned responses to warn the vessel before resorting to lethal force. The U.S. crew repeatedly attempted to warn the vessel’s operators to turn away from their deliberate approach. When those efforts failed to deter the approaching vessel, the security team on the Rappahannock fired rounds from a .50-caliber machine gun... Small craft probably had a bunch of seamen trying to beat curfew. 555555555555555 Seriously, at least 1 or 2 on the approaching craft were reportedly killed. Haven't read if the approaching boat was loaded with explosives or had bad intentions. Maybe just testing for the future? Well, I guess they found out. I saw someplace that the ship being approached was a re-fueling vessel. Man, can you imagine what that would look like if it caught fire? HH HH Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavanami Posted July 17, 2012 Report Share Posted July 17, 2012 Yes I can! having lived thru a fire on a ship a few years back!! not fun!!! I saw our ship; first, sound the horn, many times! then they flashed the spot light, all the time trying to hail the other vessel on the radio. Then they put a few rounds with the 50cal across their bow...all this over the course of say, 15 min...the vessel was still on a collusion course... guess what, the next rounds out of the 50cal were right down the center of the other vessel...then they changed their course... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Steve Posted July 17, 2012 Report Share Posted July 17, 2012 I saw a map of all the American military bases we have near Iran and we basically have the country surrounded. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Steve Posted July 17, 2012 Report Share Posted July 17, 2012 I don't like Obama's campaign strategy one bit. However, I'm chukling at Republians upest over his using a strategy they perfected. I'm seeing news reports on this but nary a word when Bush used the same exact strategy in '04. Romney doesn't have a clue. He's got no ideas other than the standard Republican mantra that they don't even follow once they are in office. Reagan and both Bushes added to the national debt. They had excuses of course. Obama doesn't seem to be much better but I do think he's on the right track with massive infrastruture spending. I will also say it would have been impossible to fix the economy in 4 years. We were near financial collapse and have deep, systemic issues. Impossible to fix in 4 years and every economist and arm chair economist knows this. However, signs of recovery should be expected. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bangkoktraveler Posted July 18, 2012 Report Share Posted July 18, 2012 Mitt Romney should be able to handle Iran just like Blaine Capital flushed Ampad and what about a New England Bank that got sucked? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bangkoktraveler Posted July 18, 2012 Report Share Posted July 18, 2012 Have you noticed the number of Republicans buying their kids' toya at Toy R' US and buying Dunkin Donuts? Both controlled by Blaine Capital. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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