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"Florida

•Electoral Votes: 29

•Most Recent Poll: Obama 49%, Romney 46% (CBS News/NY Times 8/21)

•RCP Average: Obama 46.3%, Romney 46.3%

•Average of Polls from Last Two Weeks: Obama 46.3%, Romney 46.3%

•Nate Silver Probability Analysis: 56.4% chance of Romney win

•Changes Since Last Update: Things have changed dramatically in Florida over the last week. While the most recent poll has Obama up by three, two other polls from Rasmussen and Purple Strategies have Romney with a one-to-two point lead. The RCP average is now tied, and Nate Silver switched his projection from a 54.7 percent chance of an Obama win to what is now a 56.4 percent chance of a Romney win the in the state."

 

 

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TSA Rifles Through Bags, Conducts Pat Downs At Paul Ryan Event

 

 

For some time we have been warning that the TSA is systematically moving beyond the nation’s airports and conducting operations on the streets of America.

 

The latest example of this kind of activity occurred at an event organized by Mitt Romney’s GOP running mate Paul Ryan this past weekend in The Villages, Florida.

 

The Shark Tank blog reports that TSA officers showed up alongside Secret Service and the local Sumter County Sheriff’s Office, and proceeded to do what they do like no one else does.

 

“A big WTF is in order here.†the blog notes, adding “We heard that the TSA was going to expand its ummm, ‘reach,’ but to assist in political campaigns is quite the jump in broadening their ‘transportation security horizons.’â€

 

“I counted no less than 6 TSA agents alongside the usual uniformed Secret Service detail-not to be confused with the ‘Men In Black’ looking agents.†blogger Javier Manjarres notes, with a picture of the agents in action.

 

As we have previously documented, airport security style checkpoints and inspection procedures are already in place at bus terminals, train stations, and are rapidly being expanded to the streets of America.

 

Agents have even been spotted roaming around at public events such as sports games and music concerts, and even at high school proms. :surprised:

 

The TSA even moved beyond its own borders this summer as agents were dispatched to airports in London for the Olympic Games. :angry:

 

The TSA has also announced its intention to expand the VIPR program to include roadside inspections of commercial vehicles, setting up a network of internal checkpoints and rolling out security procedures already active in airports, bus terminals and subway stations to roads and highways across the United States. :doah:

 

These internal checkpoints, run by Homeland Security, the Department of Transportation, and the TSA, involve trucks being scanned with backscatter x-ray devices in the name of “safety†and “counter terrorismâ€.

 

Homeland Security is also developing technology to be used at “security events†which purports to monitor “malintent†on behalf of an individual who passes through a checkpoint.

 

Since its inception in the US after 9/11, the TSA has grown in size exponentially. The agency was slammed in a recent congressional report for wasting hundreds of millions of taxpayer dollars on security theatre.

 

If people think they can avoid the TSA by staying away from airports, they’re going to be in for a rude awakening. TSA is clearly engaged in a total takeover of society and plans to have its agents searching, patting down, scanning and harassing Americans at all levels of society, not just at transport hubs but at public events, in the street and on highways and roads across the country.

 

The implementation of ‘Checkpoint USA’, where citizens are routinely stopped, searched and radiated by federal VIPER teams is further evidence of how America is crumbling into a Soviet-style police state where the presumption of innocent until proven guilty is abolished and the 4th amendment eviscerated. :down:

 

Arbeit macht Frei

 

 

Homeland Security and TSA were put into place by a former Republic regime.

 

As far as I am concern, Homeland Security looks like a National Police......

A police agency that doesn't have to operate like other police agencies.

 

Papers please!

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Poll: 0 percent of blacks for Mitt Romney

By: Mackenzie Weinger

August 22, 2012 05:04 PM EDT

 

President Barack Obama continues to beat Mitt Romney among African American voters with a staggering 94 percent to 0 percent lead, according to a poll released Tuesday.

 

The NBC/Wall Street Journal poll — which gives Obama and Vice President Joe Biden a small lead over Romney and his running mate Paul Ryan — shows Obama has a massive lead over his Republican rival in the key political base of African-American voters,NBCNews.com reported.

Obama also beats Romney among Latinos, voters under 35 and women, while Romney does better than Obama with whites, rural voters and seniors.

 

The poll surveyed 1,000 registered voters Aug. 16-20. The margin of error is plus or minus 3.1 percentage points.

 

Politico

 

 

 

Romney is part of the old school of Mormonism.

Under the old scholl of Mormonism, blacks were the lowest of lowest.

 

Mexicans were not very far behind.

 

 

It is surprising in this 'day and age'

that the Mormons were one of the last to try to remove some of their prejudices.

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As far as I am concern, Homeland Security looks like a National Police......

A police agency that doesn't have to operate like other police agencies.

 

Papers please!

 

Just don't go to Arizona. Just like any other. Unintended consequences. Walk or drive around without any big government issued ID. No ID - off to pokey for you.

 

The law was intened for illegals. But the law applies to all. No ID when questioned by your kindly constable, then off to station for you to be photographed and finger printed.

 

"Where is your ID sir?" "No ID?" Come down to the station. You are quilty until you can prove you are inocent. The Arizona law applies to all.

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As far as I am concern, Homeland Security looks like a National Police......

A police agency that doesn't have to operate like other police agencies.

 

Papers please!

 

Just don't go to Arizona. Just like any other. Unintended consequences. Walk or drive around without any big government issued ID. No ID - off to pokey for you.

 

The law was intened for illegals. But the law applies to all. No ID when questioned by your kindly constable, then off to station for you to be photographed and finger printed.

 

"Where is your ID sir?" "No ID?" Come down to the station. You are quilty until you can prove you are inocent. The Arizona law applies to all.

 

I am in Arizona!

 

This is the test bed for shit that will be passed to the other 49 states.

 

Remember the Miranda Rights?

That begun in Arizona! - different twist.

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Analysis of election factors points to Romney win, University of Colorado study says

 

 

 

A University of Colorado analysis of state-by-state factors leading to the Electoral College selection of every U.S. president since 1980 forecasts that the 2012 winner will be Mitt Romney.

 

The key is the economy, say political science professors Kenneth Bickers of CU-Boulder and Michael Berry of CU Denver. Their prediction model stresses economic data from the 50 states and the District of Columbia, including both state and national unemployment figures as well as changes in real per capita income, among other factors.

 

“Based on our forecasting model, it becomes clear that the president is in electoral trouble,†said Bickers, also director of the CU in DC Internship Program.

 

According to their analysis, President Barack Obama will win 218 votes in the Electoral College, short of the 270 he needs. And though they chiefly focus on the Electoral College, the political scientists predict Romney will win 52.9 percent of the popular vote to Obama’s 47.1 percent, when considering only the two major political parties.

 

“For the last eight presidential elections, this model has correctly predicted the winner,†said Berry. “The economy has seen some improvement since President Obama took office. What remains to be seen is whether voters will consider the economy in relative or absolute terms. If it’s the former, the president may receive credit for the economy’s trajectory and win a second term. In the latter case, Romney should pick up a number of states Obama won in 2008.â€

 

Their model correctly predicted all elections since 1980, including two years when independent candidates ran strongly, 1980 and 1992. It also correctly predicted the outcome in 2000, when Al Gore received the most popular vote but George W. Bush won the election.

 

The study will be published this month in PS: Political Science & Politics, a peer-reviewed journal of the American Political Science Association. It will be among about a dozen election prediction models, but one of only two to focus on the Electoral College.

 

While many forecast models are based on the popular vote, the Electoral College model developed by Bickers and Berry is the only one of its type to include more than one state-level measure of economic conditions.

 

In addition to state and national unemployment rates, the authors looked at per capita income, which indicates the extent to which people have more or less disposable income. Research shows that these two factors affect the major parties differently: Voters hold Democrats more responsible for unemployment rates while Republicans are held more responsible for per capita income.

 

Accordingly -- and depending largely on which party is in the White House at the time -- each factor can either help or hurt the major parties disproportionately.

 

Their results show that “the apparent advantage of being a Democratic candidate and holding the White House disappears when the national unemployment rate hits 5.6 percent,†Berry said. The results indicate, according to Bickers, “that the incumbency advantage enjoyed by President Obama, though statistically significant, is not great enough to offset high rates of unemployment currently experienced in many of the states.â€

 

In an examination of other factors, the authors found that none of the following had any statistically significant effect on whether a state ultimately went for a particular candidate: The location of a party’s national convention; the home state of the vice president; or the partisanship of state governors.

 

In 2012, “What is striking about our state-level economic indicator forecast is the expectation that Obama will lose almost all of the states currently considered as swing states, including North Carolina, Virginia, New Hampshire, Colorado, Wisconsin, Minnesota, Pennsylvania, Ohio and Florida,†Bickers said.

 

In Colorado, which went for Obama in 2008, the model predicts that Romney will receive 51.9 percent of the vote to Obama’s 48.1 percent, again with only the two major parties considered.

 

The authors also provided caveats. Factors they said may affect their prediction include the timeframe of the economic data used in the study and close tallies in certain states. The current data was taken five months in advance of the Nov. 6 election and they plan to update it with more current economic data in September. A second factor is that states very close to a 50-50 split may fall an unexpected direction.

 

“As scholars and pundits well know, each election has unique elements that could lead one or more states to behave in ways in a particular election that the model is unable to correctly predict,†Berry said.

 

Election prediction models “suggest that presidential elections are about big things and the stewardship of the national economy,†Bickers said. “It’s not about gaffes, political commercials or day-to-day campaign tactics. I find that heartening for our democracy.â€

 

My link

 

 

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Another shooting.... this time in New York City ......

 

How could this happen?

New York State has one of the toughtest gun controls in the nation

and New York City has even tougher gun controls.

 

and to make matters worse.......

 

rumors claim some people were hit by 'friendly fire' from the cops!

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Another shooting.... this time in New York City ......

 

How could this happen?

New York State has one of the toughtest gun controls in the nation

and New York City has even tougher gun controls.

 

and to make matters worse.......

 

rumors claim some people were hit by 'friendly fire' from the cops!

 

 

On the tele.

16 rounds fired at assailant. And 8 feet distance from NYC constables.

Maybe it's time for a tad more target practice for the men in blue in NYC.

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"Obama still in lead in Pa. survey taken after GOP veep candidate was named.

 

 

August 23, 2012|By Colby Itkowitz, Call Washington Bureau

 

 

The first poll of Pennsylvania voters since Mitt Romney picked Paul Ryan as his running mate found the new Republican ticket did nothing to improve Romney's chances in the state.

 

Barack Obama boasts a nine-point lead over Romney in the state, 49 percent to 40 percent, according to a poll of likely voters released Thursday by The Morning Call and Muhlenberg College."

 

 

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On the tele.

16 rounds fired at assailant. And 8 feet distance from NYC constables.

Maybe it's time for a tad more target practice for the men in blue in NYC.

 

Just try to imagine what happens when other people close by would draw a gun as well. It would take the term 'friendly fire' to a new level.

 

-------

 

From a distance of less than 10 feet, the officers, Craig Matthews and Robert Sinishtaj, answered in unison; one shot nine times and the other seven.

 

Investigators believe at least 7 of those 16 bullets struck the gunman, said Paul J. Browne, the Police Department’s chief spokesman. But the officers also struck some, if not all, of the nine bystanders who were wounded.

 

NYT

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