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I got a response to the above from a statistics forum that is interesting: “There is a threshold for being admitted. A person with an oxygen saturation level under 90% isn't going to have a choice to be admitted or not. You have to think about things as conditional probabilties. Probability of dying given you are sick enough to be admitted is the setting. Hospital treatments aren't that complex, maybe antiviral, anti-inflammatories, monoclonals, plasma, and supportive oxygen. The risks would come from individual risk factors (comorbidities, and immune responses [cytokine storms]) and nosocomial infections, but there are covid units so risk to other pathogens is low. The risk of medical error shouldn't be on the mind since these people would have no other option”

I don't think you know what looks right. Do you know what looks right? 5555555

Too many x-rays can be deadly. That may be a medical error. Recently I had to get x-rays done three times because, they couldn't get it right the first two times. Then I was given two more when referred to other offices that wanted to do their own x-rays. Medical error are common in my area.

0.715% corresponds to number of medical error deaths per hospitalizations (living and dead). 9.5% corresponds to number of medical error deaths for those that died after being hospitalized (dead only).

The Johns Hopkins report states "...based on a total of 35,416,020 hospitalizations, 251,454 deaths stemmed from a medical error, which the researchers say now translates to 9.5 percent of all deaths each year in the U.S." This is consistent with considering only inpatient in my analysis.

I may need medical error death rates for inpatient, outpatient, and outside hospitals. But it depends on how Johns Hopkins got the 10%— did they included them all or just inpatient deaths.

This analysis assumes you have covid, simple as that. This is a "If you have covid, what is the likelihood..." analysis.

This is a generalized (back of an envelope) evaluation which simply assumes that medical error that causes death occurs (during the 40 days that an average person spends) in a hospital during his lifetime. What type of medical error or whether that error happens on day one or day 40 is irrelevant because of the simple and general nature of this analysis. This assumption, however, may be lacking because some medical errors deaths could occur outside the hospital, such as in a doctor's office, in an ambulance, etc. The fraction outside the hospital can be incorporated once it is known.

Covid does not kill 3% per annum; it kills 3% per event. Event is when you have Covid. In my analysis, above, I assume one Covid event per person during lifetime. But if a person catches Covid again, the numbers are the same.

I’m inclined now to think otherwise based on some new assumptions: A US person average about 40 days in hospital during lifetime (https://www.hcup-us.ahrq.gov/reports/statbriefs/sb246-Geographic-Variation-Hospital-Stays.jsp) Covid patient average about 20 days in hospital (https://www.kpcnews.com/covid-19/article_8ab408ad-8fb0-5f74-8d57-11e586bd8a4f.html) With Covid, 50% of average lifetime hospital stay is used. Covid death rate is 3% Medical error death rate is 10% over lifetime Medical error death rate for Covid patients = (With Covid, 50% of average lifetime hospital stay is used) * (Medical error death rate is 10% over lifetime) = 5% Since medical error death rate for Covid patient (5%) is higher than Covid death rate (3%), an average US person with Covid will likely die from medical error than from Covid.

You mean he's a convict maker. He has turned many associates into convicts in the last few years. His behavior has gotten so bad that people and businesses are dropping him like a hot potato. Because he is a flight risk and danger to society, he should be locked up at least until they can finish prosecuting him. A kingmaker??????

The overtaking of the Capital reminds me of the Soviet Union collapse when Yeltsin climbed on top of a tank and became the new leader. In this case, however, it looked like a half-attempted coup by Trump. A big mistake on his part. There will be a price to pay for all involved. Trump lied as usual (he told the terrorists that he would go there with them) and watched the whole thing on TV, unlike Yeltsin who was in the action on top of a tank.

It doesn't look good for the Republicans: impeached one term president and now they may lose the Senate as well as the House.

Per 100 does not mean the sampling is limited to 100. It could be millions.

If you compare the number of Covid deaths per 100 confirmed cases (observed case-fatality ratio, Johns Hopkins University https://coronavirus.jhu.edu/data/mortality), US healthcare looks better than Canada, Great Britain, or Germany.

Here’s the link to this info at Johns Hopkins website https://www.hopkinsmedicine.org/news/media/releases/study_suggests_medical_errors_now_third_leading_cause_of_death_in_the_us The 10% corresponds to the dead. For the living, the odds are 0.1% because only 1% of the population die yearly. So, a better comparison should be 0.1% dead from medical errors vs. 3% dead from Covid. My previous comparison above is not correct based on this logic. A person with Covid appears more likely to die from Covid than medical errors with this approach.

https://www.google.com/search?q=probability+of+death+by+medical+error&ie=UTF-8&oe=UTF-8&hl=en-us&client=safari Patient safety researchers at John Hopkins University have found “10 percent of all U.S. deaths are now due to medical error,” making it the third leading cause of death in the United States.Jun 27, 2019 Center for Justice & Democracy › sp... Spotlight: The Chance of Dying Due To a Medical Error | centerjd.org

No. I’m trying to determine what the 10% is. But medical errors are common where I live.

You tell me. I’m trying to find the answers.

There was something in the news recently about whether or not web sites should be held responsible for the truthfulness of their contents. Google determines what pops up during a search. They aren’t suppose to mislead people.

If you do a Google search on the subject, it pops up that medical error is the third leading cause of death in US. I believe that the probability of dying as a result of medical errors is about 10%. I don't remember where I got this 10% number but it was from a reliable source a few decades ago. Here's the eye opener: if what I believe is true that (1) your chance of dying with Covid is 3% and (2) your chance of dying from medical errors is 10%, then the treatment is worse than the disease for Covid. I tried to find this 10% (probability of dying from medical errors) a few days ago via a Google search but no luck. Maybe you can find it.

For some diseases, the treatment is worse than the disease, itself. Medical error is the third leading cause of death in the US, behind cancer and heart disease. It looks like the death rates for people with Covid is about 3%. If death rates of untreated people with Covid is less than that from medical errors, then the treatment is worse than the disease. Has anyone seen any data regarding death rates of untreated vs. treated people with Covid and death rates from medical errors?

Just updated to iOS 14.3 and it works great. It’s a good idea to update, especially if you are having issues. One of the things updates do is fix bugs.

iOS14.2 is working fine on my phone. I've been using this iPhone for about 2 years now. It's a lot better than the Android phone I used before this one.

I couldn't get though the first 30 minutes. To me, the leading lady (Voila Davis) was not watchable.