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What happens to currencies in depression?


Tiger Moth

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Surely things look pretty bleak for the global economy. And, as far as I can see, there are no safe havens - global financial markets are all going down, unemployment is increasing (everywhere as far as I can tell - US, China, Thailand...). Commodity prices are falling as demand falls (oil..).

 

So, if things continue on the current trend in this global market (all countries affected), how does this affect the currency market? Everything remains the same as all countries are fcuked? Less developed countries have less margin for problems and take the biggest impact?

 

Any countries which can be expected to do significantly better than most others and therefore will have their currency do well?

 

In this very unusual if not unprecedented environment (perhaps equal to but different than the Great Depression), is it possible for anyone to offer more than a guess?

 

 

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currencies will be very unstable during depression as

- uncertainty and speculation increase

- all markets (for goods and money) are very volatile; so there are many unpredictable influences on currencies

- some countries will be hit harder and some will recover faster; this increases volatility of exchange rates

 

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