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Global economic disaster


Tiger Moth

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Thanks for the link.

 

Initially, I viewed Chpt. 20 and now will go through all 20 chapters.

 

Chpt. 20 was enough for me to see that the fears I have in my gut are reasonable fears to have and I need to address them intelligently even if the worst does not come to pass.

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Yesterday and today, I went through the entire crash course. I found nothing that didn't seem to reflect what seems to be happening in the US economy. Very scary indeed! But, better to be informed than not even if the info is not pleasant.

 

Thanks again for posting the link.

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I,m in agreement with Tiger Moth (unfortunately). We are headed for a very bad time. The new U.S plan to have a public-private partnership buy the toxic derivatives (nicely re-named "legacy" assets by the US gov) is just another way to make some well connected Wall St company rich. It creates a whole new pile of debt (US guaranteed derivatives) while dumping huge losses on the taxpayer.

 

This is not a solution it is just piling debt onto the gov while allowing the players who created this to keep going. The US national debt is now over $11 trillion and Obama will add another $1.5 trillion this year alone and states that his budget will double the national debt over the next ten years (because these are "extraordinary" circumstances).

 

Wall Streets addiction to debt was absurd and market forces shut the players down along with the global finance system. So the US gov will ignore the market and try to re-inflate the bubble by doubling down on Wall Streets debt addiction. The government debt bubble won't last long. China is already moving away from purchases of long term Treasuries; now the Fed Reserve is buying them up. A whole lot of paper being printed and traded between the Fed and Treasury and it won,t be long before the fed ends up buying most of the treasuries at auction.

 

It does not surprise me that China and Russia want to see some alternative to the dollar. They can see what is coming.

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The Geitner plan is good for wall-street and hedge funds but bad for taxpayers. It's a free put option on these assets funded ultimately by the taxpayers. It is a way to hide risk (that should normally be compensated) to the public through a little bit of financial engineering.

 

But let's face it. It's the only one that can be passed because the only thing Americans fear more than financial engineering is socialism. Only socialists nationalize banks and god forbid that happens.

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Obama's financial plans go far beyond. He's intent on nationalizing the financial markets, education, health care, industry, housing...all socialist adventures in the name of "extraordinary" circumstances/alleged "crises".

 

HH

 

Hehe, the US is becoming European. :content:

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So all this talk of cycles...why? they aren't carved in stone, and the world is changing, thus so may these cycles...what little I know about economics is you can't really predict shit as a lot is based on human emotion. And for every theory, there is a counter theory...

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So all this talk of cycles...why? they aren't carved in stone, and the world is changing, thus so may these cycles...what little I know about economics is you can't really predict shit as a lot is based on human emotion. And for every theory, there is a counter theory...

 

I probably depends how long you are stretching a cycle. But we have a real good account of one long cycle: Link.

:content:

 

1929 was definitely not like today.

As far as I see, history/economy is more meandering than a cycle.

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