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global drought?


temfarang

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Ah the great and the good of thai360 know the answers....coolness.

 

Just a couple of points.

 

Firstly, we've just had an El Nino event and next year a La Nina event is predicted. These are natural fluctuations. Hence the increased rainfall in some places and less in others. An example of this is that the Pacific Typhoon season was unusually quiet, while the Atlantic Hurricane season has been above average.

 

Also it is worth pointing out that a global shift causes local changes to occur, some may be warming, others cooling. An example, if the gulf stream collapses or shifts south, due to the global effect of warming, the local effect upon Europe will be cooling.

 

Great minds.....

 

There's a scientist in NZ who unfortunately has extremely poor communications skills, particularly on TV, who's work has shown the mean temperatures of the Southern Pacific have declined slightly over 15 or so years.

 

And another has compared satellite photos of a group of islands (Tuvalu) that are supposedly sinking and found out they are not, they're getting bigger, by and large, (New Scientist, Shape-shifting islands defy sea-level rise, 02 June 2010 by Wendy Zukerman).

 

What a lot of histrionic led neo greenies don't realise is that Anthropogenic anything, is an arrogant concept. Nature simply doesn't care.

 

I'd be more worried about species extinction than climate.

 

Coss

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I am not a climate change disciple .. but if big butted Al's predictions / beliefs / position are even kinda sorta correct we're in deep do do.

 

scientists believe that severe drought will affect areas including two-thirds of the US, southern Europe, and much of Latin America beginning in the 2030s, LiveScience reports.

http://www.newser.com/story/103310/extreme-drought-predicted-for-us-western-hemisphere-by-2030s.html

 

 

Lake Mead, the country's biggest reservoir, has fallen to its lowest level since it was filled 75 years ago

Lake Mead, the giant man-made lake behind the Hoover Dam and a major source of water for millions of people, is rapidly drying up, reports Live Science. A new study predicts a 50% chance the lake will be too low to produce hydroelectric power by 2017, and a 50% chance that it will vanish by 2021.

http://www.newser.com/story/18902/lake-mead-may-vanish-by-2021.html

 

According to Conservatives, Lake Mead has been getting drained by Communist Liberals, or at least that is what the Conservatives tell me.

 

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Isaan doesn't seem to be suffering from drought.

 

Same in NZ last year' date=' a bit dry, histrionics over global warming and drought, then it pissed down, very wet winter.

 

A Quote: "You humans, you just want everything to remain the same, things get wetter, things get drier, things get hotter, things get colder, get used to it!"[/quote']

 

Our Australian Al Gore (I forget his name), who has received numerous awards and still sprouts the doomsday message guaranteed that Brisbane Australia would be a waste land and the city would die due to climate change drought, this would happened by 2010.

 

Well, now, it is pissing down, all the dams are full (4 in total), we're letting water flow out of the dams on a weekly basis to avoid flooding to the city. Climatologists are now predicting our wettest summer in 30 years, and our highest cyclone watch (which will bring even more rain).

 

A funny thing about climate, its mere definition invokes 'a change'.

 

Mind you, I still don't think we should be pumping all these gases into the skies :beer:

 

 

Some claim Nostradamus claimed the world was coming to an end in 2010, 2009, 2008, 2007, etc. and that it will come to an end in 2011, 2012, 2013, etc.

 

If you think about it, Nostradamus was right.

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I recall seeing a program once where a scientist said it was incorrect to say the earth is dying. Earth and you can substitute nature for earth because to a large extent we're talking about teh same thing, won't die.

He said if this is all true its humans that are vulnerable. The earth is remarkably resilient. It always bounces back. It came back from the ice age, the meteor that killed off the dinosaurs, etc. It takes its sweet old time about it, it may take millions of years sometimes but it always comes back. In that process existing species become extinct new ones evolve from the ones that survive.

 

So, lets just say there will be global warming and to humor those of us that believe its self made by us, the end result of it will be that we as a species won't survive and after we're gone the earth will slowly come back to its previous state and some thing else will emerge as top of the food chain. If there are some of us left and can adapt maybe humans as a species will be here still but obviously in much reduced role for some time.

 

Save being knocked out of its orbit or some extra stellar event like the sun giving off too much heat or not enough, its humans that are vulnerable. The planet will live on and make a comeback.

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While all humans are vulnerable, and all plant and animal life either adapts or goes extinct due to changes the planet incurs over time. Be it a catastrophic meteor strike, ice age, anomalies of the sun, or atmospheric and climate changes. I give little thought or concern about these.

 

I'm a short-term thinker...

 

My main concern is if and when will the the Baht significantly weaken and other currencies strengthen, allowing more affordability of frivolous activities... ;)

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Save being knocked out of its orbit or some extra stellar event like the sun giving off too much heat or not enough, its humans that are vulnerable. The planet will live on and make a comeback.

 

 

Quite right, overpopulation is the problem, lack of resource.

 

It happens with every species, bacteria in a petri dish will breed until the food has run out, then there's a catastrophic population crash.

 

Happens with rats, locusts, and soon, us.

 

I think someone, somewhere, worked out that the human population would be best at about one billion.

 

So of course now the problem will be, whose billion that might be.

 

Ouch!

 

Coss

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There will be some Malthusian check I think. Disease, war, something will happen that will greatly reduce the human population when we get too many people. Maybe..just maybe our inate nature to war and f**k each other over in some manner or form is nature's way of making sure we will never reach the max population sustaincy point? Our own greed, avarice and inhumanity against each other (war, genocide, etc.) will keep us from that point.

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Written 30 or 40 years ago.

 

hRc6mHS9PjE

 

Born like this

Into this

As the chalk faces smile

As Mrs. Death laughs

As the elevators break

As political landscapes dissolve

As the supermarket bag boy holds a college degree

As the oily fish spit out their oily prey

As the sun is masked

We are

Born like this

Into this

Into these carefully mad wars

Into the sight of broken factory windows of emptiness

Into bars where people no longer speak to each other

Into fist fights that end as shootings and knifings

Born into this

Into hospitals which are so expensive that it's cheaper to die

Into lawyers who charge so much it's cheaper to plead guilty

Into a country where the jails are full and the madhouses closed

Into a place where the masses elevate fools into rich heroes

Born into this

Walking and living through this

Dying because of this

Muted because of this

Castrated

Debauched

Disinherited

Because of this

Fooled by this

Used by this

Pissed on by this

Made crazy and sick by this

Made violent

Made inhuman

By this

The heart is blackened

The fingers reach for the throat

The gun

The knife

The bomb

The fingers reach toward an unresponsive god

The fingers reach for the bottle

The pill

The powder

We are born into this sorrowful deadliness

We are born into a government 60 years in debt

That soon will be unable to even pay the interest on that debt

And the banks will burn

Money will be useless

There will be open and unpunished murder in the streets

It will be guns and roving mobs

Land will be useless

Food will become a diminishing return

Nuclear power will be taken over by the many

Explosions will continually shake the earth

Radiated robot men will stalk each other

The rich and the chosen will watch from space platforms

Dante's Inferno will be made to look like a children's playground

The sun will not be seen and it will always be night

Trees will die

All vegetation will die

Radiated men will eat the flesh of radiated men

The sea will be poisoned

The lakes and rivers will vanish

Rain will be the new gold

The rotting bodies of men and animals will stink in the dark wind

The last few survivors will be overtaken by new and hideous diseases

And the space platforms will be destroyed by attrition

The petering out of supplies

The natural effect of general decay

And there will be the most beautiful silence never heard

Born out of that.

The sun still hidden there

Awaiting the next chapter.

 

- Charles 'Hank' Bukowski

 

 

 

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