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The state of Virginia?

 

 

"Timothy M. Kaine has jumped ahead of George Allen for the first time in their U.S. Senate race, according to a new Washington Post poll in Virginia, changing the complexion of a nationally watched contest that could help determine which party will control the chamber.

 

Kaine (D) leads fellow former governor Allen ® among likely voters by 51 percent to 43 percent, and Kaine is ahead among all registered voters by an identical margin in the hard-fought contest to succeed the retiring James Webb (D)."

 

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Is this a "legitimate" number?

 

 

Missouri

 

•Seat Currently Held By: Senator Clair McCaskill (D)

•Challenger: Rep. Todd Akin ®

•Most Recent Poll: McCaskill 49%, Akin 43% (Rasmussen Reports 9/11)

•Real Clear Politics Average: McCaskill 48%, Akin 42.7%

•Nate Silver Probability Analysis: 72.2% chance of McCaskill win

 

•Projected Winner: McCaskill

 

•Analysis: After being considered a swing state for much of the last four decades Missouri has trended Republican over the last decade. McCaskill won by three points over Rep. Jim Talent in the 2006 election, but the state went to Sen. John McCain in the 2008 presidential election even though Obama won big nationally. After being considered a fairly safe pickup for Republicans for much of the year, Akin gave stumbled big when he claimed that “legitimate rape†victims cannot get pregnant. McCaskill now leads in the most recent polls, and Democrats are favored to keep the seat.

 

 

 

 

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"The explanation, according to Mooney is simple: conservatives are scientifically illiterate. Mooney bases his conclusions primarily on two issues: anthropogenic global warming and evolution. The heat generated by Republican grey matter working through complex scientific theories pops their hard-wired neural circuits like corn heating in a kettle. Because science is made up of “facts,†he writes, there must be some neuro-cognitive evolutionary reason for why the right wing brain limps along as it does. He equates the far right of the Republican base, which does fervently embrace these anti-science views, with both Republicans and conservatives in general.

 

It’s a neat theory: Republicans are congenitally defective. Well, he doesn’t use the word “defectiveâ€. He does say he believes they are cognitively incapable of accepting such staggeringly complex concepts as “survival of the fittest.†But he’s got a big heart. I’m not making value judgements, he’s quick to claim. I’m just reporting facts. We should try to understand these mental slackers not blame them."

 

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Abortion, gay marriage, teaching of evolution are religious issues for conservatives. Thats the heart of it.

I recall studying the big bang, etc. in grade school. Never gave it a second thought other than passing the test at the end of the class.

Never thought about it in relation to what I was hearing in Sunday school that God created the heavens and the earth.

Fundamentals have this insane thought that America's schools are turning kids into atheists by teaching the big bang and other theories.

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Economic model predicts Romney will beat Obama

 

 

DENVER — A University of Colorado economic model that has correctly predicted who will win the past eight presidential elections shows Mitt Romney emerging as the victor in 2012.

 

Ken Bickers, professor of political science at the University of Colorado Boulder, and Michael Berry, political science professor at the University of Colorado Denver, announced Wednesday that their state-by-state analysis shows the Republican capturing a majority of electoral votes.

 

“Based on our forecasting model, it becomes clear that the president is in electoral trouble,†said Mr. Bickers, who also serves as director of the CU in DC Internship Program.

 

The results show President Obama winning 218 votes in the Electoral College, well short of the 270 required for victory. While the study focuses on the electoral vote, the professors also predict that Mr. Romney will win 52.9 percent of the popular vote to Mr. Obama’s 47.1 percent when considering only the two major political parties

 

 

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I think too the race is completely open. Even though most polls show Obama ahead, it's mostly within the margin of error. To make it worse for Obama the new voter ID laws in swing states like Florida might keep thousands of Dems voters away from the voting booth.

 

If Romney weren't so extremely bad, the GOP would be a clear winner by now. But on the other hand the selection of Romney is a clear sign in how bad shape the GOP currently is.

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